BTC Price Prediction: Analyzing the Path to $175K and Beyond Through 2040

#BTC

• Technical indicators show consolidation near support levels with potential for upward breakout
• Institutional adoption through ETFs and national reserve strategies provides long-term bullish foundation
• Regulatory developments and macroeconomic factors remain key price catalysts through 2040

BTC Price Prediction

Technical Analysis: BTC Shows Consolidation Pattern Near Key Support

BTC is currently trading at $112,429, below its 20-day moving average of $116,614, indicating short-term bearish pressure. The MACD reading of 549.19 remains positive but shows weakening momentum compared to previous levels. Bollinger Bands suggest consolidation between $111,357 support and $121,870 resistance. According to BTCC financial analyst James, 'The price action NEAR the lower Bollinger Band coupled with reduced volatility suggests accumulation phase before next major move.'

Market Sentiment: Institutional Maturity Meets Regulatory Uncertainty

Recent headlines reflect a mixed but fundamentally strong outlook for Bitcoin. While ETF outflows of $1.17B indicate short-term caution, BlackRock's dominance as the largest Bitcoin holder signals long-term institutional confidence. Jerome Powell's upcoming speech could serve as a catalyst for either breakout or consolidation. BTCC financial analyst James notes, 'The combination of institutional adoption through ETFs and emerging national reserve strategies creates a bullish foundation despite temporary outflows.'

Factors Influencing BTC's Price

Bitcoin’s 30-Day Active Supply Drops, Signaling Market Calm Before Next Move

Bitcoin’s 30-day active supply has cooled off, according to new data from Alphractal, highlighting a slowdown in market activity after recent volatility. The metric, which tracks unique coins moved within a month, serves as a barometer for investor sentiment. Declining activity suggests reduced circulation and calmer conditions—a typical prelude to significant price movements.

Historical patterns show spikes in active supply often coincide with market extremes, whether euphoric tops or fearful capitulation. The current lull mirrors past consolidation phases, positioning BTC for its next decisive trend. Analysts interpret this as a transitional period where accumulation or distribution will determine the next breakout direction.

Bitcoin Mining Industry Shifts Focus from Hash Rate to Energy Monetization Amid ETF Boom

Bitcoin miners are navigating an increasingly complex landscape as the traditional four-year halving cycle loses its dominance. Executives at the SALT conference in Jackson Hole highlighted a pivotal shift: power capacity has become the new battleground. "We used to come here and talk about hash rate," said Cleanspark CEO Matt Schultz. "Now we're talking about how to monetize megawatts."

The rise of spot Bitcoin ETFs has fundamentally altered market dynamics, with institutional demand far outstripping new supply. Cleanspark, now operating 800 megawatts of infrastructure with plans for 1.2 gigawatts more, exemplifies the industry's pivot toward energy-as-a-service models. The maturation of Bitcoin as a strategic asset, coupled with AI's growing power needs, is forcing miners to diversify or risk obsolescence.

Eric Trump Predicts Bitcoin Surge to $175K, Declares Himself a Bitcoin Maxi

Eric Trump, speaking at the Wyoming Blockchain Symposium, forecasted Bitcoin could reach $175,000 by the end of 2025 and surpass $1 million in future market cycles. His bullish stance aligns with Anthony Scaramucci's prediction of Bitcoin hitting $180,000–$200,000 this year.

Trump, who now dedicates over half his time to cryptocurrency projects, argued blockchain technology solves inefficiencies in traditional finance, such as settlement delays. His comments highlight the growing influence of political figures in digital asset discourse.

Unverified claims emerged during his speech suggesting a nation may hold 200,000 BTC ($22 billion at current prices). While speculative, this fuels theories about governments accumulating Bitcoin as strategic reserves.

Analysts point to institutional adoption as the primary driver behind Bitcoin's potential upside, with the cryptocurrency increasingly viewed as a macroeconomic hedge and technological innovation.

Bitcoin Enters ‘Trend-Shift’ Territory—Is a Breakout to New All-Time Highs on the Horizon?

Bitcoin is navigating a critical trend-shift zone as markets digest Jerome Powell’s latest Jackson Hole speech. The Fed Chair acknowledged rising downside risks to the U.S. labor market, hinting at potential September rate cuts, while cautioning against tariff-driven inflation. Historically, Powell’s policy signals have been a catalyst for Bitcoin’s price action—dovish tones fuel rallies, while hawkish remarks trigger sell-offs.

Jackson Hole 2022 saw BTC drop nearly 8% after Powell’s inflation warnings. In contrast, his March 2023 signal for slower rate hikes sparked a 12% weekly surge. This time, Bitcoin holds steady near $25,000 as traders await clearer momentum. The cryptocurrency now stands at a pivotal level, with market participants watching for signs of a breakout toward record highs.

Jerome Powell Speech Today Could Decide Bitcoin Price Path to $150K or Crash to $110K

All eyes in the crypto market are locked on the Jackson Hole Summit today, where U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell is set to speak at 10 AM ET. His remarks could dictate the next major move for Bitcoin and altcoins, as traders balance fears of hawkish policy against signs of a weakening economy.

Market sentiment has turned cautious over the past week, with Bitcoin retreating from recent highs and altcoins following suit. Traders anticipate Powell to maintain a firm stance on interest rates, reducing the probability of a September rate cut to 69.5%, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.

Beneath the surface, economic indicators paint a contrasting picture. U.S. jobs data has softened, with the unemployment rate climbing to 4.2%, jobless claims rising, and previous employment figures revised downward. Meanwhile, inflation remains stubbornly above the Fed’s 2% target, leaving room for a potential policy shift if economic conditions deteriorate further.

Corporate bankruptcies have surged to levels not seen since 2020, underscoring the strain of tight monetary conditions on businesses. The crypto market now stands at a crossroads, with Powell’s speech poised to either reignite bullish momentum or trigger further downside.

Bitcoin’s Muted Volatility Signals Institutional Maturity, Says Pompliano

Bitcoin's recent 10-15% drawdowns reflect market maturation rather than weakness, according to Anthony Pompliano of Professional Capital Management. The asset's volatility has dampened as institutional investors and ETFs enter the space, shifting Bitcoin from a speculative bet to a consensus holding.

"In bull markets, Bitcoin typically sees 30% corrections. These 10-15% pullbacks show how the market is evolving," Pompliano noted during a CNBC interview. The change in ownership dynamics—from retail traders driven by emotion to institutions with longer-term horizons—further stabilizes price action.

While Pompliano tempered expectations of a $500,000 price target this cycle, he dismissed fears of an 85-90% collapse as equally unrealistic. Bitcoin's trajectory now mirrors gold's historical path from fringe asset to mainstream adoption.

Bitcoin ETFs Record $1.17B Outflow Amid Market Uncertainty

Spot Bitcoin ETFs in the U.S. have seen five consecutive days of outflows totaling $1.17 billion, marking the longest withdrawal streak since April 2025. The sell-off follows Bitcoin's recent all-time high of $124,128 on August 14, with prices now hovering below $113,000.

Anthony Pompliano, a prominent crypto investor, argues the market is oversold. 'Bitcoin is undervalued at current levels,' he stated, predicting heightened activity in September and a potential Q4 rally. While dismissing short-term $1 million price targets, Pompliano remains bullish on long-term appreciation.

The current outflow pattern mirrors April's seven-day redemption streak, when Bitcoin traded near $79,625 before rebounding sharply. Market analysts are watching for similar recovery signals as institutional sentiment fluctuates.

Kenyan Crypto Startup Brings Bitcoin Financial Services to Kibera Slums

AfriBit Africa, a Nairobi-based cryptocurrency startup, has processed more than 2,000 Bitcoin transactions in Kibera, one of Kenya's largest urban slums. The initiative targets financial inclusion for a population where 80% lack access to formal banking, despite Kenya's robust mobile money infrastructure.

Founded in 2022 by community organizer Ronnie Mdawida, the project now supports 40 local merchants accepting Bitcoin and has trained 120 women and youth in upcycling programs that generate crypto-denominated income. "We're here to show that overlooked communities can lead a financial revolution with tools they truly own," Mdawida stated.

The effort highlights the limitations of traditional banking in informal settlements, even as mobile money platforms like M-Pesa serve 30 million users nationally. Infrastructure challenges and regulatory hurdles continue to exclude populations like Kibera's 250,000 residents from mainstream finance.

Strategy Executes Bitcoin Acquisitions Without Market Disruption

MicroStrategy, under Michael Saylor's leadership, now holds over 629,000 Bitcoin worth approximately $70.85 billion. The firm's corporate treasurer, Shirish Jajodia, asserts that their purchasing strategy avoids impacting Bitcoin's market price. By proportionally aligning buys with market liquidity and utilizing over-the-counter desks, MicroStrategy maintains market stability while accumulating significant holdings.

Jajodia emphasized the company's disciplined approach during a recent podcast, noting their transactions represent a measured fraction of overall market activity. Bitcoin's price has exhibited mixed reactions following these large-scale acquisitions, underscoring the effectiveness of MicroStrategy's execution strategy.

Philippines Moves to Establish National Bitcoin Reserve

The Philippines House of Representatives has introduced a groundbreaking bill to create a national Bitcoin reserve, marking a strategic pivot toward digital asset integration in sovereign finance. The proposal would enable the government to hold BTC as part of its official reserves, signaling both institutional validation of cryptocurrencies and a calculated bet on blockchain-based financial infrastructure.

This legislative push positions the Philippines alongside early-adopter nations leveraging crypto reserves for economic resilience. The move reflects accelerating global recognition of Bitcoin's role as a treasury asset, particularly among emerging economies seeking alternatives to traditional reserve currencies.

BlackRock’s iShares ETF Becomes Biggest Bitcoin Holder

BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin ETF has surged past major cryptocurrency exchanges to claim the title of the largest known holder of Bitcoin. The fund’s rapid accumulation underscores escalating demand for regulated crypto investment vehicles among both institutional and retail investors.

This development signals a seismic shift in Bitcoin ownership dynamics, with traditional finance giants now commanding a dominant position. The trend reflects a broader movement of ETFs funneling mainstream capital into crypto markets, further cementing Bitcoin’s integration with global finance.

BTC Price Predictions: 2025, 2030, 2035, 2040 Forecasts

Based on current technical indicators and market developments, here's our projected outlook:

BTCC financial analyst James emphasizes that 'these projections assume continued institutional adoption, regulatory clarity, and Bitcoin's maintained dominance as digital gold.'